O‘ZBEKISTONDA OLIY TA’LIM BOSHQARUVINI HUDUDIY MEHNAT BOZORI SHAROITLARIGA MOSLASHTIRISH: 2011–2025-YILLAR UCHUN IKKI YO‘NALISHLI FIKSIRLANGAN EFFEKTLAR PANEL TAHLILI
Kalit so'zlar:
oliy ta’lim boshqaruvi; hududiy mehnat bozori; nodavlat sektordagi bandlik intensivligi; bandlik darajasi; panel ma’lumotlar; fiksirlangan effektlarAnnotatsiya
Ushbu tadqiqot O‘zbekiston hududlaridagi mehnat bozori ko‘rsatkichlaridan oliy ta’lim boshqaruvida qay darajada foydalanish mumkinligini baholaydi. Uchta rasmiy ma’lumotlar to‘plami 2011–2025-yillar bo‘yicha 14 hududni qamrab olgan 210 ta “hudud–yil” kuzatuvli muvozanatlashgan panelga birlashtirildi. Hududiy bandlik darajasi bir yilga kechiktirilgan nodavlat sektordagi bandlik intensivligi — nodavlat bandlikning iqtisodiy faol aholiga nisbati — hamda iqtisodiy faol aholi sonining yillik o‘sishi bilan izohlandi. Ikki yo‘nalishli fiksirlangan effektlar modeli doimiy hududiy farqlar va umumiy yillik shoklarni nazorat qiladi; standart xatolar hududlar bo‘yicha klasterlandi. Nodavlat bandlik intensivligi (β = 0,652; SE = 0,341; p = 0,078) va mehnat resurslari o‘sishi (β = 0,179; SE = 0,084; p = 0,054) koeffitsiyentlari ijobiy, biroq 5 foizlik ahamiyatlilik darajasiga yetmadi. Diagnostika geteroskedastiklik, ketma-ket korrelyatsiya va funksional shakl cheklovlarini ko‘rsatdi; shu sababli natijalar sababiy ta’sir emas, shartli bog‘liqlik sifatida talqin qilinadi. Hududiy ko‘rsatkichlar o‘quv dasturlarini ko‘rib chiqish, ish beruvchilar bilan maslahatlashuv va bitiruvchilar monitoringi uchun foydali, ammo dastur darajasidagi dalillarni almashtirmaydi.
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